Dimuon predicted and observed for 3.6 fb-1

Using the results of the (pTrel,d0Significance) fit below, we obtain the background prediction for the 3.6 fb-1 sample.  They are:

TCE mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.443923

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=2.1214

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=8.60857

nbg=11.1739

data=9

TCE mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=3.10351

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=2.01054

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=2.4465

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=36.4959

nbg=44.0564

data=15

TCE mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.971373

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=1.69165

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=8.66579

nbg=11.3288

data=8

CMUP mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.403686

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.972838

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=5.16716

nbg=6.54368

data=5

CMUP mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=1.87454

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=1.10496

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=1.34186

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=19.3975

nbg=23.7189

data=5

CMUP mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.603845

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=1.08485

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=4.82156

nbg=6.51025

data=2

CMX mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.169583

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.564945

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=3.43739

nbg=4.17192

data=0

CMX mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=1.22732

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.816829

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.768016

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=11.7364

nbg=14.5486

data=3

CMX mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.305322

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.460449

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=3.38036

nbg=4.14613

data=2

The background prediction is generally higher and is much higher for the opposite sign final states.

Ratio tables used to get the prediction and some representative kinematic plots after the break.

I plot 4 of the ratio tables below that were used to create the dimuon background prediction.

Most of the contribution from the opposite sign comes from R(h,+-).  We can compare the ratios obtained from the tables above:

R(l,++) = 4.95 e-04

R(h,++) = 1.04 e-02

R(l,+-) = 3.65 e-03

R(h,+-) = 4.44 e-02

We would obtain the observed opposite sign yield if R(h,+-)=9.1 e-03 – approximately 3*R(l,+-).

Here are some representative kinematic plots from the TCE +- and ++ final states.