New Predictions

Here are the new expected and observed numbers in e+e and e+mu:

Old Track Quality:

Selection BG Prediction Data Observed
TCE_eP_eP 550.536 469
TCE_eP_eN 1122.09 901
TCE_eN_eN 583.46 428
CMUP_eP_eP 331.307 302
CMUP_eP_eN 675.02 563
CMUP_eN_eN 342.74 315
CMX_eP_eP 189.794 170
CMX_eP_eN 366.203 361
CMX_eN_eN 185.485 201
TCE_eP_mP 65.4135 19
TCE_eP_mN 63.8633 26
TCE_eN_mP 58.6098 36
TCE_eN_mN 64.9233 30
CMUP_eP_mP 32.5401 12
CMUP_eP_mN 30.2969 24
CMUP_eN_mP 31.4779 16
CMUP_eN_mN 32.2473 14
CMX_eP_mP 16.3119 14
CMX_eP_mN 20.3123 8
CMX_eN_mP 15.8709 12
CMX_eN_mN 22.3682 13

New Track Quality: (tighter silicon requirements for electrons)

Selection BG Prediction Data Observed
TCE_eP_eP 460.208 378
TCE_eP_eN 1011.86 737
TCE_eN_eN 537.621 342
CMUP_eP_eP 297.91 242
CMUP_eP_eN 612.326 479
CMUP_eN_eN 306.243 259
CMX_eP_eP 177.752 126
CMX_eP_eN 350.248 301
CMX_eN_eN 171.667 152
TCE_eP_mP 55.1458 19
TCE_eP_mN 59.1393 26
TCE_eN_mP 54.0227 34
TCE_eN_mN 59.9562 27
CMUP_eP_mP 29.1257 12
CMUP_eP_mN 28.783 23
CMUP_eN_mP 29.4332 15
CMUP_eN_mN 28.9681 13
CMX_eP_mP 14.4311 13
CMX_eP_mN 20.0945 7

The most dramatic change between these two was the reduction in the predicted contribution from (e+e-, both from conversions).  That contribution was reduced by a factor of two, but that’s the one that we aren’t currently getting a good estimate for. (a reduction from 12 to 6 doesn’t show up very well)

-Scott