Following Scott’s discovery of the discrepancy in the single lepton population between the W+jets & W+heavy samples, I below used the heavy ratios obtained from the W+jets samples to obtained the predicted background and compared to the observed yield.

TCE mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.443923

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.106633

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=1.36741

nbg=1.91797

data=9

TCE mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=3.10351

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.461862

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.258485

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=10.282

nbg=14.1059

data=23

TCE mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.971373

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.365418

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.549428

nbg=1.88622

data=8

CMUP mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.399164

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.0449528

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=2.32589

nbg=2.77001

data=5

CMUP mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=1.91507

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.573502

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.173787

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=4.48139

nbg=7.14375

data=16

CMUP mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.634605

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.0522837

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=2.67786

nbg=3.36475

data=2

CMX mu+ mu+:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{l}=0.168544

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.201404

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{+}_{h}=0.294008

nbg=0.663956

data=0

CMX mu+ mu-:

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=1.2084

#mu^{+}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.0506138

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.011716

#mu^{+}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=3.07523

nbg=4.34596

data=6

CMX mu- mu-:

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{l}=0.341453

#mu^{-}_{l}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.292227

#mu^{-}_{h}#mu^{-}_{h}=0.382209

nbg=1.01589

data=2

We have gone from having an observed excess everywhere to having an observed deficit almost everywhere.